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2 Possible Futures for Florida’s 2026 Housing Market

Slide 1: 🌡️ Scenario 1: Mortgage rates stay high 6–7%+, keeping market cautious and steady. Slide 2: 🏘️ Inventory grows as homeowners list properties and new construction adds supply. Slide 3: 📉 Prices could stabilize or slightly decline. Slide 4: 💸 Scenario 2: Rates drop near 6%, awakening latent buyers and increasing competition. Slide 5: 📈 Lower rates could boost sales, stabilize prices, and modestly increase home values.

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Here’s Why Florida’s Housing Market Is Cooling Faster

Slide 1: 🌡️ Florida’s market grew insanely fast—some areas doubled prices in just years. Slide 2: 💸 Skyrocketing homeowners insurance adds hundreds or thousands monthly. Slide 3: 🏠 Property taxes surged alongside home values, adding long-term costs for owners. Slide 4: 💼 Heavy investor activity now slows, adding inventory and pushing prices downward. Slide 5: ⚠️ Florida dominates the U.S. list of at-risk markets due to extreme prior growth.

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Florida Buyers Hold More Power Than Ever in 2025!

Slide 1: Florida inventory now exceeds pre-pandemic levels, boosting buyer opportunities. Slide 2: Median list price in Early-Fall: $423,267 Slide 3: Builders offering incentives add pressure on Florida’s resale market. Slide 4: Slower migration and higher rates weakened Florida’s market strength. Slide 5: Buyers benefit as Florida shifts toward a more balanced market.

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Why Florida Buyers Find Fresh Reasons to Move

Slide 1 Florida homebuilder sales just rose 2%, marking a surprising turnaround after years of slowdown. Slide 2 Move-up home sales jumped 18%, while active adult communities are performing especially strong. Slide 3 Median home prices are down 10% in two years, luring hesitant buyers back. Slide 4 Single-family permits dropped 11%, but multifamily permits soared 25%, adding 36,013 new units. Slide 5 Experts say Florida still needs 100,000 more…

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Housing Inventory Has Reverted to Pre-Pandemic Levels in These 14 States

National active housing listings increased by about 21% from August 2024 to August 2025 but remain 11% below August 2019 levels. Inventory has returned to 2019 levels in 14 states and Washington, D.C. In the Sun Belt and Mountain West, markets like Tampa and Austin have seen inventory near or surpass pre-pandemic levels due to slowed migration, rising mortgage rates, and increased new home supply, which cools resale markets. Continue…

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